Malaria: 67 million additional cases within the next 4 years if PMI cuts enacted

Cutting your budget from the President’s Malaria Initiative (PMI) by 44%, because the U.S. Congress has suggested, would result in an believed 67 million additional installments of malaria within the next 4 years, based on a mathematical model printed now in PLOS Medicine by Peter Winskill of Imperial College London, United kingdom, and colleagues.

Malaria life cycle/CDCMalaria existence cycle/CDC

The PMI, established in 2005 and funded through the US Agency for Worldwide Development (USAID), provides ongoing support to malaria control programs in 19 African countries and it is the biggest bilateral funder of malaria treatment and prevention. In May 2017, Congress printed a financial budget justification document which incorporated a 44% suggested reduction to PMI funding for 2018. Within the new study, they inputted data on PMI funding and epidemiology into a recognised type of Plasmodium falciparum malaria to project the outcome of reductions in funding.

If funding is maintained, PMI-funded interventions are believed to avert 162 million more cases (95% CrI: 116 million, 194 million) of malaria and save 692,589 (95% CrI: 392,694, 955,653) lives between 2017 and 2020 when compared with no PMI support. If your 44% decrease in funding occurs, the model says this lack of direct aid could cause yet another 67 million (95% CrI: 49 million, 82 million) installments of malaria and 290,649 deaths (95% CrI: 167,208, 395,263) between 2017 and 2020 when compared with maintaining current amounts of funding.

“Our results give a conservative estimate from the overall impact of PMI funding as we don’t capture the outcome of PMI-connected activities,” the authors say. “PMI’s ongoing support… in counties of high burden or proper importance is essential to prevent an immediate erosion from the progress made within the last fifteen years on the highway towards malaria eradication.”

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